Trading
UBS win prestigious forex derivatives award
LONDON – UBS won a leading industry award as the best forex derivatives house of 2004 for its cutting edge business development work.
Speculative $/¥ selling discouraged
Ian Stannard, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas in London, favours selling USD/JPY gains amid mounting political pressure
Further boost for Asian forex volumes
HONG KONG – Asia’s forex markets will continue to see strong activity this year as more participants pile into the asset class.
Intervention going out of fashion
Paul Meggyesi, vice-president, global currency strategist at JP Morgan Chase, points to a decreasing willingness for Asian central banks to intervene as a reason to expect further dollar weakening
Gain ahead of the pack in 2004
Gain Capital topped the ranking for both one-month and three for 2004. Mark Galant, chief executive of the FX services provider, puts this success down to a combination of knowledge acquired from many years spent at banks and the ability to benefit from…
Towards risk-free emerging markets investment
Pete Eggleston, head of quantative solutions at Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), outlines a way of benefiting from the high yields associated with emerging market investing while controlling the inherent risk
Strongest year ever for forex
NEW YORK and CHICAGO – December was yet another record month for foreign exchange as platforms and exchanges posted their highest ever volumes, making 2004 the strongest ever year for the asset class.
No 2005 rally for the greenback, say analysts
WASHINGTON – The dollar is unlikely to see a revival in 2005, and could weaken further against Asian currencies, according to bank analysts.
Review of 2004 - April: Banks draw EU25 battle plans
LONDON & FRANKFURT – Euro convergence may still be years away for the 10 new member states joining the European Union (EU), but far-sighted banks and brokers were already drawing up their FX battle plans for the new Europe in April. Deutsche Bank, HSBC,…
Euro gains status as reserve
FRANFURT – Buying by some of Eastern Europe’s and Africa’s central banks is buoying the euro as the central bankers come to the realisation the currency is here to stay, according to a leading forex fund manager.
Dollar’s fall catches out FX rate forecasters over three months
The extent to which the market has been surprised by the extent of the dollar’s fall over the last quarter is demonstrated by the FX Week three-month forecasts. Three forecasters saw a divergence of more than 13% from the actual spot rate on euro/dollar…
Asian currencies resilient
HONG KONG – Asia’s currencies have proved resilient after the devastation caused by the earthquake and tsunami disaster that struck the region last week, said analysts.
Introducing FX into fixed-income portfolios
David Durrant, chief currency strategist for the Americas at Julius Baer Asset Management, says a simple use of cross trades exploiting different central banks’ positions in the economic cycle shows that it is not necessary to use exotic structures
Cable – getting nervous about $2?
Karen Griffith, chief currency analyst at Independent II Research, says technical and fundamental indicators point to sterling well above the $2 mark
Dollar weakening, but for how long?
Dollar weakness will continue into the first quarter of 2005 under current US policies, says Marios Maratheftis, economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London. But market volatility may change the Fed's stance
Banking on a e/$ breakout
Saxo Bank and Deutsche Bank attained the top two spots in the three-month forecasts this week, with accurate positions on euro/dollar. Deutsche Bank came closest to picking the extent of the euro's strength against the greenback.
Asia continues to rally against dollar
HONG KONG -- Asian currencies are undervalued and will continue to strengthen next year against a weak dollar, according to market participants.
The American double-accrual forward
With expected further euro appreciation, EUR/USD forwards are trading at a premium. Here, Anna Leung, head of corporate treasury marketing at HSBC, shows a way to get access to future hedging at a lower cost
Dollar recovery set to continue
Dollar recovery is likely to continue this week as short-covering and profit-taking extend further, according to Mitul Kotecha, global head of FX research at Calyon, London
Conservative approach to further dollar weakness
A one-year 'leveraged ratchet forward' may help hedgers looking for a conservative strategy who are expecting a lower EUR/USD next year, say Eric Ohayon, European head of FX structuring, and Chris Weiss, FX structurer, at Bank of America in London
Dollar weakening underestimated
A view that the Japanese authorities would intervene to protect the level of the dollar led much of the market to underestimate the extent to which the greenback would weaken against the unit, according to Ray Attrill, director of research at 4Cast. The…
Dollar/won move boosts options market activity
HONG KONG -- Volumes in the forex options markets have surged off the back of the rapid move in the dollar/won over recent weeks, say analysts.