Trading
Expect nasty surprises
Michael Klawitter, senior currency strategist for West LB, believes the US current account deficit will remain a problem
More options for hedge funds
Options give hedge fund managers a tool to manage spot currency trades outside of leaving simple orders in the market. Jeff Cooper (right), vice-president responsible for sales and structuring of FX options at Bank of Montreal in Toronto, explores this…
Asian ERM debate returns to the fore
HONG KONG -- Calls for an Asian currency regime mirroring the European exchange rate mechanism (ERM) are coming to the fore, as the region’s authorities face mounting pressure to alter their exchange rate policies.
JP Morgan takes winning view
JP Morgan has shot to the top of the three-month forecasts following a different focus on the dollar, according to John Normand, FX strategist at JP Morgan in London.
Aussie momentum wanes
The Aussie will face considerable pressure around the 0.78--0.80 region, says Tim Fox, chief economist at National Australia Bank in LondonThe Australian dollar has been in strong demand since the first week of the New Year, bucking an otherwise strong…
Asian governments hold the key to dollar’s future
LONDON – Decisions made in Tokyo and Beijing, rather than Washington or Frankfurt, will determine the future of the dollar, according to a report published last week.
Forecast traders hit the top
Forecasters who trade are often more accurate, according to Marios Potaczala, chief executive and head of trading at Warsaw-based TMS Brokers, which came top of the three-month ranking. "I traded spot for many years, and this experience has helped in…
Volatility rises ahead of G7 meeting
LONDON – Currency markets volatility has increased in the run-up to the G7 meeting this week, as traders speculate over the possibility of a change to the Chinese currency regime.
Rough ride ahead for Asian FX
Asia FX is heading for a volatile course in the coming fortnight, with poor economic data and continuing uncertainty about renminbi revaluation, according to Claudio Piron, Asian FX strategist at JP Morgan in Singapore
New Turkish lira causes surge of activity
ISTANBUL – The new Turkish lira (TRY) is seeing strong demand across Europe only a month after its rebasing, said industry insiders.
Ringgit peg likely to end, say analysts
KUALA LUMPUR & SINGAPORE – The days of the Malaysian ringgit’s six-year peg to the dollar look to be numbered, according to analysts in the region.
Dollar weakness set to continue
Jim McCormick, global head of FX research at Lehman Brothers in London, sees short-term technical gains, but continued longer-term dollar weakness
Kissing with confidence is key to FX
Keep it structurally simple (Kiss), says Evan Steed, director FX options trading and sales TD Bank Financial Group. This truism is especially appropriate as the greenback faces an uncertain future and regulatory change comes to Canada
Rising dollar trend to continue
With the euro/dollar on its way towards its peak of 1.3652 on December 31, most analysts predicting rates a month down the line on December 17 missed the greenback’s subsequent rally to 130.87 by January 17. Pronet Analytics was helped to the top of the…
Corporate confidence in FX on the rise
LONDON – Forex activity from corporates will continue to grow in 2005, following the introduction of accounting standard IAS 39 and the Homeland Investment Act, according to banks.
Further dollar falls needed
ANZ came top of the one-month forecast this month, with forecasts less than 1% out across every currency pair except for the dollar/swissie, where the bank was 1.1% out. For the euro/dollar pair the antipodean bank benefited from a lower prediction than…
The greenback/HK dollar digital deposit
Hong Kong dollar interest rates remain suppressed. Michael Image, FX structurer for Northeast Asia at Standard Chartered shows a way for HK$ depositors to achieve higher interest rates by taking advantage of the fact that US$/HK$ forwards are trading at…
UBS win prestigious forex derivatives award
LONDON – UBS won a leading industry award as the best forex derivatives house of 2004 for its cutting edge business development work.
Speculative $/¥ selling discouraged
Ian Stannard, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas in London, favours selling USD/JPY gains amid mounting political pressure
Further boost for Asian forex volumes
HONG KONG – Asia’s forex markets will continue to see strong activity this year as more participants pile into the asset class.
Intervention going out of fashion
Paul Meggyesi, vice-president, global currency strategist at JP Morgan Chase, points to a decreasing willingness for Asian central banks to intervene as a reason to expect further dollar weakening
Gain ahead of the pack in 2004
Gain Capital topped the ranking for both one-month and three for 2004. Mark Galant, chief executive of the FX services provider, puts this success down to a combination of knowledge acquired from many years spent at banks and the ability to benefit from…
Towards risk-free emerging markets investment
Pete Eggleston, head of quantative solutions at Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), outlines a way of benefiting from the high yields associated with emerging market investing while controlling the inherent risk
Strongest year ever for forex
NEW YORK and CHICAGO – December was yet another record month for foreign exchange as platforms and exchanges posted their highest ever volumes, making 2004 the strongest ever year for the asset class.