Trading
BarCap forecasts mid-year RMB peg change
BEIJING – Barclays Capital is forecasting a mid-year change to the renminbi (RMB) peg, the bank announced at its global FX conference in the Chinese capital last Friday.
Korean banks report mixed FX results
SEOUL – Korean banks reported strong revenues from their FX business in 2004, with one bank seeing a rise of more than 40%.
INR – everything is relative
The INR’s over-extended valuation against the Reserve Bank of India’s REER implicit policy anchor continues. This over-extension is looking anomalous against the continued backdrop of Asian FX selling. Claudio Piron, Asian FX strategist at JP Morgan in…
Rabobank’s bullish dollar view pays dividends
Rabobank came top of the three-month forecast thanks to a bullish view on the dollar. The Dutch bank posted a forecast of 1.28 for the euro/dollar pair, slightly below the actual rate of 1.2923. Only one other bank forecast the greenback to be stronger…
EM currency volatility to continue
CENTRAL EUROPE – Volatility in emerging market FX has surged as market participants gauge the impact of improving US fundamentals, which resulted in a 25 basis point rate hike last week, according to analysts.
4Cast rides out dollar corrections
Chris Furness, senior currencies strategist at 4Cast in London, says resisting the temptation to chase prevailing spot rates into the longer term allowed 4Cast to top the one-month and 12-month forecasts.
Keeping a steady ringgit
Deeds speak stronger than words when it comes to the Malaysian ringgit, says Dominique Dwor-Frecaut, emerging markets strategist at Barclays Capital in Singapore
Emerging market opportunities
There are more options in emerging markets than you might think, says Scott Wacker (below), global head, client risk advisory and sales, ABN Amro in London
Oil price threat to the dollar
With FX reserves diversification and higher oil prices hitting the headlines, Simon Derrick at the Bank of New York in London discusses the potential impact on the dollar
Record start for US investment banks
NEW YORK – This year looks set to be another bumper year for FX, with a second consecutive year of record-breaking first- quarter results from the US investment banks.
FXCM's three-pronged approach
Forex Capital Markets (FXCM) has topped the three-month forecast using a combination of fundamental, technical and market indicators in its analysis, said chief strategist in New York, Kathy Lien.
Saxo loyal to bearish view
Saxo Bank tops the three-month index for the fourth consecutive week, thanks to its continued bearish dollar outlook, said John Hardy, FX strategist at Saxo in Copenhagen.
Volkswagen hit by strong euro
WOLFSBURG – Volkswagen (VW) took an e800 million exchange rate hit to operating profits in 2004, with US sales dealt a significant blow from the strong euro.
Fade-out zero-cost collar for hedgers
Since the beginning of the year, we have witnessed a EUR/USD spot consolidation below 1.37. Also, the last move from 1.2700 took EUR-USD up to the middle of the range 1.27 / 1.37. Many USD buyers are therefore looking to zero-cost collars, one of the…
Asia shies away from dollar bloc
Basel – Asian currencies are not trading as a dollar bloc, said the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) in its quarterly review last week.
EBS opens to investor community
LONDON – EBS is launching its buy-side offering this week following a successful pilot with nine banks that has been running since November.
Norway looks to higher prices
The Norwegian government is pursuing policies to drive prices higher while expressing a desire for a weaker currency, says Neil Mellor, currency strategist at Bank of New York in London
A broader view than the yuan
While much attention is focused on a likely shift in the value of China’s currency, Ashish Advani (right), director of risk solutions at Travelex in Toronto, points to a way of hedging against the more imminent risk of free-floating Asian currency…
Look to NZ for opportunities
Geoff Kendrick, currency strategist at Westpac, is focusing on the New Zealand dollar (NZD) this week
Bullish dollar view pays off
Investors Bank & Trust tops the year-to-date one-month index after increasing its focus on economic fundamentals which led to a more bullish view on the dollar, said Tim Mazanec, senior FX strategist at the bank in Boston.
Waiting for a won u-turn
After the recent declaration that the Bank of Korea intends to employ a policy of currency diversification in its reserve holdings, the won performed strongly. Here, Bhanu Baweja, FX strategist at UBS in Singapore, looks at what could trigger a u-turn
Rabobank finds the winning formula in dollar correction
Rabobank tops both the one month and one month year-to-date forecasts this week after changing its dollar view at the end of last year, said Stuart Ritson, FX strategist at the bank in London.
Cutting the cost of dollar calls
With the USD having hit its lowest levels since the first half of January, Steven Englander, chief FX strategist for the Americas at Barclays Capital, suggests a cost-effective way to position for a dollar rebound
Asia to set up Bellagio Group
BANGKOK -- Asian nations are looking to set up a group that will bring greater regional co-operation.