Trading

Sterling -- a call for calm

The market has got so excited about sterling it has failed to recognise underlying economic problems in the UK. These problems will see sterling disappoint many in 2004, say David Bloom (left) and Mark Austin, currency strategists at HSBC in London

Rand-weakening options running dry

LONDON -- The recent weakening of the South African rand, which dropped from 6.3128 on January 5 to 7.0649 on January 30, may be hard to sustain, as the authorities run out of options to force the currency lower, analysts warned last week.

How to ride out the rising Aussie

The stellar rise of the Aussie doesn’t have to be bad news for Australian exporters. Wes Price, of ANZ Bank’s consultative risk management group in Melbourne, explains why

More banks put money on research

LONDON -- ABN Amro and Barclays Capital are among the increasing number of banks putting money on their trade recommendations for FX. Both have allocated money to start trading on model portfolios this year, joining CSFB, Citigroup and JP Morgan Chase as…

EBS set to cut delays with direct data feed

LONDON -- Spot broker EBS will launch a new direct data feed today, February 2, which aims to cut delays in the distribution of its spot prices from third parties such as Bloomberg, Moneyline and Reuters.

Using currency as an alpha source

The past three years have been disturbing for investors and managers. This investment climate is perfect for engaging in currency strategies to create alpha, say Paul Lambert, head of currency, and Mark Pursey, UK spokesperson at Deutsche Bank Asset…

Korean regulations to keep won stable

SEOUL -- Analysts are forecasting more near-term stability for the Korean won, after the South Korean Ministry of Finance and Economics (Mofe) last week introduced regulations aimed at limiting activity in the non-deliverable forwards (NDF) market by…

Mission impossible

Japanese FX intervention is increasing, but even unlimited funds would fail to stop appreciation, says Simon Derrick (right), head of currency research at the Bank of New York in London

Dollar move boosts State Street’s revenues

BOSTON -- Sustained currency market trends, including the continued US dollar downturn, helped State Street increase its profits from FX dealing 30% year-on-year, according to its 2003 financial results published last week.

Analysts mull expectations for Japan

TOKYO -- Analysts expect Japanese authorities to continue intervening in the currency markets this year, following the Ministry of Finance’s (MoF) record spend of ¥21 trillion ($198 billion) in 2003. However, the consensus view is that the MoF may…

Kiwi ripe to strengthen

The New Zealand dollar’s recent performance is based on more than just US dollar weakness. Sue Trinh, currency strategist at the Bank of New Zealand in Wellington, looks at what will be driving the currency in 2004

The year ahead in Asia

US dollar weakness and regional equity market strength look set to remain the main drivers of Asian FX in 2004, according to Tim Condon, chief economist, Asia for ING Financial Markets in Hong Kong

Calling all forecasters!

Due to increasing demand from banks and analysis firms to join FX Week ’s forecast table, we are this month launching a major new currency forecasts index.

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