Trading

Japan's MoF steers clear of intervention

TOKYO – Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) last week revealed it has not intervened in the FX markets since mid-March – and is likely to refrain from further currency intervention for some time, said market participants.

Volatility troubles traders

High intra-day volatility is making life difficult for forex traders, says Shahab Jalinoos, senior FX strategist at ABN Amro in London

RBS is top 12m forecaster

Forecasting currency moves over a 12-month horizon is a difficult discipline. In addition to negotiating unexpected economic data, interest rate differentials and trader psychology, the successful forecaster must also contend with geopolitical risks - a…

Long-term solution for dollar/rupee liability

With the Indian rupee rising and a low federal funds rate, Amit Bansal, head of treasury at Barclays Capital in Mumbai, proposes a solution for a corporate to take advantage of the inverted swap points

ACI Congress debates future

LONDON – The European forex community gathered in London last week for the ACI European Congress hosted by ACI UK. Among the contentious issues discussed during the three-day event were operational risk, the future of the European Union and trading in…

Oil troubles yen forecasting

Yen was the most troublesome currency to forecast throughout May, as the soaring cost of oil hit oil consumer Japan’s unit – and with it, yen forecasting accuracy.

Election jitters

A tight presidential race could spell trouble ahead for the US dollar, says Peter Luxton (right) global markets adviser at Informa Global Markets in London

CME and Reuters pool liquidity

LONDON – Trading systems vendor Reuters and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange are bringing together their pools of buy-side and sell-side liquidity in what may be the first move towards an exchange model for the FX market.

Yen vol boosts BTM revenues

TOKYO – Yen volatility has boosted Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi’s (BTM) FX revenues, it said last week, as client demand for currency options soared in fiscal 2003.

EBS opens up prime broker service

LONDON – Spot broker EBS has opened EBS Prime, its FX prime brokerage service, to more banks, following a 20-week pilot programme with prime brokers Deutsche Bank, JP Morgan Chase and The Royal Bank of Scotland, along with 16 pilot customers.

Raising the standard for London

ACI’s European Congress in London this week has been two years in preparation. Robin Poynder, chairman of the organising committee, describes the agonies and ecstasies of staging the forex industry event in the UK capital

Dealers dismiss UK euro entry

LONDON – More than a quarter of forex dealers interviewed for an exclusive poll for FX Week think sterling will never become part of the single European currency. Another 10% believe the UK’s entry into the euro is at least another 10 years away – with…

Terrorism threatens Turkish lira

Turkey’s proximity to the worsening situation in Iraq is prompting an outflow of capital and sending the lira spiralling downwards, says Neil Mellor, FX strategist at Bank of New York in London

Congress rise slows Indian rupee ascent

MUMBAI – The success of the Congress Party in the recent Indian elections sent tremors through the FX market last week, and may have a longer-term negative impact on the world’s largest emerging currency market.

China to stick with peg

While Chinese officials have hinted a yuan peg change may be imminent, Adrian Foster, FX strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in Singapore sees change unlikely in 2004

BIS reports FX options surge

BASEL – FX options business increased by a massive 77% year-on-year in the second half of last year, according to Bank for International Settlements (BIS) statistics released last week.

Banks compete for e-FX talent

LONDON – Dealers combining technological and sales expertise are in short supply as banks compete to secure staff that can aid their success in the growing online FX market.

Solving investment problems with forex

An asset manager may look to euro/Swiss franc and euro/sterling structures to take advantage of investor uncertainty, says David Durrant, chief currency strategist at Julius Baer Asset Management International in New York

Data sets tone for firmer dollar

NEW YORK – Much stronger than expected economic data from the US last Friday has set the tone for a firmer US dollar this week – potentially putting an end to the nervousness that has kept some clients out of the market in recent days.

Commodities drive client FX

LONDON – Banks are reporting growing business from clients needing structured FX and commodities solutions. The growth of commodity trading adviser (CTA), private banking, hedging and investor interest in FX is helping to boost demand, said bankers in…

What is oil telling us?

The high cost of oil in the US may hit the dollar hard in Q4, says John Taylor, chief investment officer at overlay manager FX Concepts in New York

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