The year ahead in Asia
Modest trade-weighted currency appreciation is in store for most Asian regionals if ING’s forecast of general US dollar weakness materialises. Despite the depreciation of the past two years, we do not see any balance of payments support for the US dollar. Exports are poised to grow rapidly, but strong US domestic demand ensures continued rapid import growth. A stable trade deficit seems a best-case scenario but a widening cannot be ruled out. And on the capital account, the US Federal Reserve’s
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