
Election jitters
The November US Presidential elections are shaping to be a close-run affair. So far, the FX markets are fixated on the US economy and Federal Reserve policy, with expectations that the Fed will pull the interest rate trigger with a 25 basis point hike at the end-June meeting, another 25bp by September, and back up to 2% from the current 1% by year-end. This is leading to dollar carry trades unwinding and leaving the US unit with a broad-bid tone across the board, despite the current
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