Trading

US banks hit by flat trading

New York – Poor market conditions have led to a sharp fall-off in FX revenues for some US banks, but others managed to post increased returns in the third quarter.

Yield enhancement for European investors

Polish investors anticipating zloty strength over the coming year should consider a 'zloty bull note' to provide higher returns than a one-year deposit, says Andy Kaufmann, head of FX structured products for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Merrill…

Special Feature - CLS settlement: the next two years

As CLS enters its third year, Joseph De Feo discusses plans for expansion Two years ago, the CLS Group launched the world's first global settlement service for foreign exchange trades. Following several other aborted efforts to tackle Herstatt, or…

Are consensus forecasts useful?

Analysts differ over the tools they use to put together their currency forecasts. Some rely on macro fundamentals, economic data forecasts or flow data, while others rely purely on technical indicators.

GFI launches new FX option data service

NEW YORK – Broker and market data firm GFI Group has launched a new currency options historical data service for quantitative experts, risk managers and middle-office employees at banks active in the FX markets.

SARB to cut before year-end?

Royal Bank of Canada expects a 50bp rate cut in South Africa to 7.00 before the end of the year, explains Tania Kotsos, senior emerging markets strategist at the bank in London

EBS gets foothold in China

SHANGHAI – Spot broker EBS has signed up Bank of Montreal as the first bank in mainland China to use EBS Spot, its spot broking platform. Through the agreement, Bank of Montreal (BMo) will be able to trade spot FX from its offices in Beijing, Guangzhou…

BIS paints bright future for FX

BASEL – The huge growth in daily turnover in the global foreign exchange market, revealed in the Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial FX survey last week, has painted a bright future ahead for forex market participants.

Oil woes hit yen

Neil Mellor, London-based analyst at Bank of New York points to the weakness of the Japanese market in the wake of high oil prices

NDFs for a company with operations in China

Clients based in one country with manufacturing bases in another are exposed to risk if the country of production’s currency appreciates. Here, Ashish Advani, director, risk solutions at Travelex in London, proposes a solution that hedges the risk using…

US, UK and Australia win in global boom

The main winners in the booming global FX industry are those markets benefiting from control of the lion’s share of forex activity, soaring trade and commodity-related currency business – notably the UK, the US and Australia.

Lack of volatility in US/£ pair

There has been little divergence in views on cable over the last few weeks in the FX Week Currency Forecasts Index, reflecting lack of volatility in the currency pair.

The 'triple-currency wedding cake deposit'

The past year has seen a dramatic surge in the use of FX-linked yield-enhancement products. Generally, these products fall into two categories: dual-currency redemption engineered by the sale of an option; and range-enhanced coupons that contain embedded…

ABN Amro revises forecasts

ABN Amro is among the banks revising currency forecasts in response to an increasingly bearish outlook for the dollar.

Making the most of upcoming volatility

For the currency overlay manager looking to take advantage of a burst of market volatility at the start of the fourth quarter, Simon Derrick, head of Bank of New York's currency strategy team, describes a simple, low-cost way for them to express their…

Late summer lull aids accuracy

The FX markets are experiencing a late-summer lull, as the major currency pairs continue trading in the tight ranges in which they have been stuck for the past few months. That inactivity has fed through to the FX Week Currency Forecasts Index, with very…

Preparing for a break from range trading

Markets have been fairly flat over recent months. How can options traders make the most of this, and how should they prepare for a break from range? By Cornelius Luca, FX Concepts' New York-based head of client advisory for the Americas

Hedge funds to rethink strategy

LONDON – Large numbers of hedge funds drawn to the FX market over the past year are likely to modify trend-driven FX trading, after being stung by heavy losses this year.

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