Trading
Dollar weakness set to continue
Jim McCormick, global head of FX research at Lehman Brothers in London, sees short-term technical gains, but continued longer-term dollar weakness
Kissing with confidence is key to FX
Keep it structurally simple (Kiss), says Evan Steed, director FX options trading and sales TD Bank Financial Group. This truism is especially appropriate as the greenback faces an uncertain future and regulatory change comes to Canada
Rising dollar trend to continue
With the euro/dollar on its way towards its peak of 1.3652 on December 31, most analysts predicting rates a month down the line on December 17 missed the greenback’s subsequent rally to 130.87 by January 17. Pronet Analytics was helped to the top of the…
Corporate confidence in FX on the rise
LONDON – Forex activity from corporates will continue to grow in 2005, following the introduction of accounting standard IAS 39 and the Homeland Investment Act, according to banks.
Further dollar falls needed
ANZ came top of the one-month forecast this month, with forecasts less than 1% out across every currency pair except for the dollar/swissie, where the bank was 1.1% out. For the euro/dollar pair the antipodean bank benefited from a lower prediction than…
The greenback/HK dollar digital deposit
Hong Kong dollar interest rates remain suppressed. Michael Image, FX structurer for Northeast Asia at Standard Chartered shows a way for HK$ depositors to achieve higher interest rates by taking advantage of the fact that US$/HK$ forwards are trading at…
UBS win prestigious forex derivatives award
LONDON – UBS won a leading industry award as the best forex derivatives house of 2004 for its cutting edge business development work.
Speculative $/¥ selling discouraged
Ian Stannard, senior currency strategist at BNP Paribas in London, favours selling USD/JPY gains amid mounting political pressure
Further boost for Asian forex volumes
HONG KONG – Asia’s forex markets will continue to see strong activity this year as more participants pile into the asset class.
Intervention going out of fashion
Paul Meggyesi, vice-president, global currency strategist at JP Morgan Chase, points to a decreasing willingness for Asian central banks to intervene as a reason to expect further dollar weakening
Gain ahead of the pack in 2004
Gain Capital topped the ranking for both one-month and three for 2004. Mark Galant, chief executive of the FX services provider, puts this success down to a combination of knowledge acquired from many years spent at banks and the ability to benefit from…
Towards risk-free emerging markets investment
Pete Eggleston, head of quantative solutions at Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), outlines a way of benefiting from the high yields associated with emerging market investing while controlling the inherent risk
Strongest year ever for forex
NEW YORK and CHICAGO – December was yet another record month for foreign exchange as platforms and exchanges posted their highest ever volumes, making 2004 the strongest ever year for the asset class.
No 2005 rally for the greenback, say analysts
WASHINGTON – The dollar is unlikely to see a revival in 2005, and could weaken further against Asian currencies, according to bank analysts.
Review of 2004 - April: Banks draw EU25 battle plans
LONDON & FRANKFURT – Euro convergence may still be years away for the 10 new member states joining the European Union (EU), but far-sighted banks and brokers were already drawing up their FX battle plans for the new Europe in April. Deutsche Bank, HSBC,…
Euro gains status as reserve
FRANFURT – Buying by some of Eastern Europe’s and Africa’s central banks is buoying the euro as the central bankers come to the realisation the currency is here to stay, according to a leading forex fund manager.
Dollar’s fall catches out FX rate forecasters over three months
The extent to which the market has been surprised by the extent of the dollar’s fall over the last quarter is demonstrated by the FX Week three-month forecasts. Three forecasters saw a divergence of more than 13% from the actual spot rate on euro/dollar…
Asian currencies resilient
HONG KONG – Asia’s currencies have proved resilient after the devastation caused by the earthquake and tsunami disaster that struck the region last week, said analysts.
Introducing FX into fixed-income portfolios
David Durrant, chief currency strategist for the Americas at Julius Baer Asset Management, says a simple use of cross trades exploiting different central banks’ positions in the economic cycle shows that it is not necessary to use exotic structures
Cable – getting nervous about $2?
Karen Griffith, chief currency analyst at Independent II Research, says technical and fundamental indicators point to sterling well above the $2 mark
Dollar weakening, but for how long?
Dollar weakness will continue into the first quarter of 2005 under current US policies, says Marios Maratheftis, economist at Standard Chartered Bank in London. But market volatility may change the Fed's stance
Banking on a e/$ breakout
Saxo Bank and Deutsche Bank attained the top two spots in the three-month forecasts this week, with accurate positions on euro/dollar. Deutsche Bank came closest to picking the extent of the euro's strength against the greenback.