Opinion
Dollar to plummet further in 2005
Continued dollar weakness in 2005 will fuel European and Japanese currency strength and damage export demand, according to Tony Norfield, ABN Amro's global head of FX strategy in London
Will Asia dump the dollar?
The possibility of a dollar collapse must be taken seriously. The US's benign neglect is increasingly untenable, says Tim Clayton, analyst at market analysis firm Investica in London
Dynamic hedging strategies in Turkish lira
Emerging markets options offer the benefit of extreme differences in implied volatility and interest rate differentials. Here, James Davison, FX derivatives marketer at ABN Amro in London, outlines how corporate clients can see the benefits investors…
Who wins from yuan revaluation?
With a potential yuan revaluation looming, Adam Cole, senior currency strategist at Royal Bank of Canada in London, analyses the impact on the G10 FX markets.
Protecting against losses while making gains
Given the rapid, one-way move in the Canadian dollar (CAD), many hedgers who are short CAD are looking for innovative hedging ideas. John McAuliffe, manager, US FX options sales at the Bank of Montreal in Chicago, suggests some options
The American-style participating forward
Clients wishing to trade at a pre-specified strike rate during a certain window period, should consider the American-style participating forward, say Bank of America options specialists Jim Kamphoefner in San Francisco and Ravi Chopra in Singapore
FX – the odd man out
The currency market is decoupling from other markets. This is not sustainable, says David Woo, head of FX strategy at Barclays Capital in London
Spotlight on Japan's yen policy
With the focus on the US, little attention has been paid to Japan. Jake Moore, FX analyst at Barclays Capital in London, examines the MoF's likely actions now the US election is over
Window barrier for a Canadian manufacturer
Canadian manufacturers are looking for innovative hedging ideas in an increasingly bleak exporting environment. Richard Stang, an FX sales dealer at TD Bank Financial Group in Toronto, suggests one potential solution
The US election effect
How will the US election affect the FX markets? Alan Ruskin, New York-based research director, 4Cast, reveals the results of his company's recent survey
Prime brokerage best for individual investors
Individuals who want to trade FX may find a prime broker will promote confidentiality, cut out settlement difficulties and help resolve credit issues, says Peter Wakefield, MD of research and product development at Record Currency Management in the UK
US dollar's central role
The dollar is likely to have a large role to play in the adjustment of the US economy, whether it is suited to it or not, writes Alan Ruskin, research director at New York-based analysis firm 4Cast
Dollar to continue its slide next year
Michael Klawitter, senior currency strategist at WestLB Global Financial Markets in Düsseldorf, sees the euro continuing its appreciation against the dollar next year
Hedging Chinese renminbi revaluation
To boost returns on the event of Chinese renminbi revaluation, trading on the recently launched Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asian Currency Index (ADXY) is the best solution, says Erik Herzfeld, head of regional options trading at JP Morgan in Singapore, and…
Yield enhancement for European investors
Polish investors anticipating zloty strength over the coming year should consider a 'zloty bull note' to provide higher returns than a one-year deposit, says Andy Kaufmann, head of FX structured products for Europe, the Middle East and Africa at Merrill…
SARB to cut before year-end?
Royal Bank of Canada expects a 50bp rate cut in South Africa to 7.00 before the end of the year, explains Tania Kotsos, senior emerging markets strategist at the bank in London
Oil woes hit yen
Neil Mellor, London-based analyst at Bank of New York points to the weakness of the Japanese market in the wake of high oil prices
NDFs for a company with operations in China
Clients based in one country with manufacturing bases in another are exposed to risk if the country of production’s currency appreciates. Here, Ashish Advani, director, risk solutions at Travelex in London, proposes a solution that hedges the risk using…
The 'triple-currency wedding cake deposit'
The past year has seen a dramatic surge in the use of FX-linked yield-enhancement products. Generally, these products fall into two categories: dual-currency redemption engineered by the sale of an option; and range-enhanced coupons that contain embedded…
FX majors unmoved by stronger capex
The capital expenditure recovery is unlikey to shake FX majors from their limited volatility, says Darragh Maher, senior currency strategist at Calyon
Making the most of upcoming volatility
For the currency overlay manager looking to take advantage of a burst of market volatility at the start of the fourth quarter, Simon Derrick, head of Bank of New York's currency strategy team, describes a simple, low-cost way for them to express their…
Preparing for a break from range trading
Markets have been fairly flat over recent months. How can options traders make the most of this, and how should they prepare for a break from range? By Cornelius Luca, FX Concepts' New York-based head of client advisory for the Americas
Ringgit revaluation looms
A change in the Malaysian ringgit's peg to the dollar is likely, despite the Malaysian authorities' protestations that this will not happen, says David Mann, Standard Chartered's senior FX strategist in London
The perils of a presidential election
The forthcoming US race for the White House represents a major risk for the FX markets ahead of voting in November and beyond, says Bilal Hafeez, head of foreign exchange strategy at Deutsche Bank in London