Trading
Cycles, structures and the dollar
It is difficult to ascertain what drives the capital markets at any one time. Market participants often seem to confuse cyclical and structural factors, and this is especially true of the dollar now, says Marc Chandler, chief currency strategist at HSBC…
Riding with the euro
A European client buying US dollars should consider a three-year swap to use the current euro strength to their advantage, says Pritpal Gill, head of structuring at Lehman Brothers in London
Sars threatens C$ boom
TORONTO -- Booming forex business for Canadian banks could be under threat from the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome (Sars) to Toronto, senior market participants told FX Week .
Euro powers on as investors desert US
LONDON -- The euro nudged above the $1.10 level against the dollar last week, as the market’s renewed focus on economic fundamentals hurt the greenback.
Market focus shifts to fundamentals
LONDON -- The US dollar slipped across the board last week, as the forex market’s gaze turned from war to economics.
Loonie zooms
Canadian dollar strength is set to continue, say Lauren Germain and David Mozina, of Bank of America’s FX strategy group in New York. And the market is reacting accordingly
Citi rides out tough Q1
NEW YORK -- Citigroup shrugged off concerns about reduced FX client activity in the first quarter of 2003, reporting largely flat forex trading revenues last week.
A firm view on the rand
Unexpected data revealing South Africa’s current account surplus has led Merrill Lynch to cite a firm view on the rand. Jos Gerson, chief economist for South Africa in Cape Town, explains key factors that must be taken into account in coming to a solution
War threat to Q1 FX profits
NEW YORK – The impact of the war in Iraq on FX will become clear this week, when the US commercial banks publish trading revenues for the first three months of the year.
Singapore dollar hit by SARS woes
SINGAPORE -- Speculation mounted last week that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) had intervened to protect the Sing dollar’s narrow trading range, as fears over the SARS virus escalated.
When stocks rocket
Markets are expecting a post war rally in equities. Jesper Dannesboe, chief FX strategist at Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein in London, looks at the implications for FX
ABN, Deutsche top forecast rankings
LONDON -- ABN Amro was the most accurate currency forecaster based on a one-month prediction made on March 7, while Deutsche Bank took top spot for 3m forecasts submitted three months ago in FX Week ’s table of forecasters (see below).
More prime brokers take to web
LONDON -- Automation of the prime brokerage industry is well underway, with a host of new services set to hit the market in the coming months.
Dare to compete
The Canadian dollar has a chance to shine, but will domestic exporters seize the opportunity? asks Craig Larimer (right), managing director, international research group, Banc One Capital Markets in Chicago
The ‘leverage range forward’ approach
A UK company exporting to the US looking to hedge long-term USD receivables may enter a ‘leverage range forward’ strategy to boost the hedge level, says Didier Meyer, FX options structurer and marketer at SG in Paris
Japan confirms March interventions
TOKYO -- The Bank of Japan, on behalf of the Ministry of Finance, spent nearly ¥1.2 trillion in March in a bid to ease the Japanese currency’s strength against the dollar and the euro.
Dollar consolidation brings FX manager joy
STAMFORD, CT -- A temporary halt in the US dollar’s downtrend helped 60% of currency managers on the Parker FX Index maintain positive returns in February. But returns were limited -- the index was up just 0.16% for the month.
Reuters mounts EBS challenge
LONDON -- Reuters is mounting a bid to unseat the Electronic Broking Service (EBS) as the premier broker in euro/dollar, a senior Reuters official told FX Week .
Market suspects yen intervention
TOKYO -- Speculation was rife in FX markets last week that the Bank of Japan was intervening to attempt to keep the yen above 120 per dollar ahead of the Japanese fiscal year-end today (March 31).