Economics
Heading for the final USD selling opportunity
Hans-Guenther Redeker, global head of FX strategy at BNP Paribas in London, suggests a way to take advantage of the prospect of near-term dollar strength to protect against the likelihood of longer-term USD weakness.
Euro fall to continue, say analysts
LONDON, COPENHAGEN AND NEW YORK – The euro is set to stay weak against the dollar, according to FX strategists.
Imbalances the major threat
STOCKHOLM – Global imbalances caused by currency intervention are building up and pose a real threat to world economic stability. This was the key message of central bankers at last week’s ACI conference in Stockholm.
Benefiting from yuan revaluation
The Lloyds TSB Financial Markets team suggests how to benefit if the Chinese yuan revalues and Asia follows suit
What is the fate of the greenback?
Corporates need to be aware of the likely fate of the dollar. Simon Miles (below), head of dealing at London-based foreign exchange brokerage CorporateFX, points to economic policies leading to another bubble, and says the authorities need to do more to…
Ringgit peg likely to end, say analysts
KUALA LUMPUR & SINGAPORE – The days of the Malaysian ringgit’s six-year peg to the dollar look to be numbered, according to analysts in the region.
Turkish delight in strength of lira
ISTANBUL – The run-up to the introduction of the new Turkish lira (NTL) has coincided with a strong growth in the unit.
Politics fail to dampen hopes for forint
BUDAPEST – The resignation last month of Hungary's prime minister Peter Medgyessy has not led to the trading opportunities that may have been expected from the country's currency, the forint.
Rate differentials bolster peso trading
MEXICO CITY – Speculation on the direction of US interest rates is bolstering already high levels of trading in US dollar/Mexican peso.
Oil price hits Asian currencies
HONG KONG – Surging oil prices have put pressure on Asian currencies, but the impact has been magnified by other factors influencing the region, according to analysts.
HK$ intervention set to continue
HONG KONG – The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) looks set to continue its intervention to support the Hong Kong dollar over coming weeks, analysts say.
Euro doubts remain despite EC growth forecasts
LONDON – Economic growth in the eurozone is set to exceed the European Commission’s forecast of 1.7% in 2004, it said in its quarterly report last week – but analysts remain sceptical that this will be enough to sustain the euro’s current rally.
Snow hails CME's China deal
CHICAGO – The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) has forged a ground- breaking deal with a central bank-sponsored FX trading platform in China, in a move hailed by US government officials as a crucial step towards renminbi flexibility.
Japan's MoF steers clear of intervention
TOKYO – Japan's Ministry of Finance (MoF) last week revealed it has not intervened in the FX markets since mid-March – and is likely to refrain from further currency intervention for some time, said market participants.
Rocketing oil price dominates currencies
LONDON – The rocketing price of crude oil is continuing to dominate the currency markets, propping up the currencies of oil producers while hitting oil consumers hard.
Congress rise slows Indian rupee ascent
MUMBAI – The success of the Congress Party in the recent Indian elections sent tremors through the FX market last week, and may have a longer-term negative impact on the world’s largest emerging currency market.
Traders’ perceptions of market timing
Jeffrey Todd Lins, director in quantitative analysis at Saxo Bank in Copenhagen, discusses the importance of timing in making trade decisions following an economic release
Politics overshadows economics for zloty
WARSAW -- The resignation of the Polish prime minister from the leadership of the ruling Democratic Left Alliance (SLD) Party will lead to continued volatility in the zloty, which is already close to record lows, analysts said last week.
Thai baht flies high despite bird flu
BANGKOK -- Market participants remain bullish on the outlook for the Thai baht, despite the outbreak of avian influenza that has hit Thailand and other parts of Asia in recent weeks.
Rand-weakening options running dry
LONDON -- The recent weakening of the South African rand, which dropped from 6.3128 on January 5 to 7.0649 on January 30, may be hard to sustain, as the authorities run out of options to force the currency lower, analysts warned last week.
SPECIAL REPORT: CHINA Opportunity China: banks reveal plans
SHANGHAI -- Top forex banks are stepping up their strategies to win lucrative FX business in China as it gradually liberalises its economy. Major international players are taking steps such as increasing staffing levels in the Asia-Pacific, or carrying…
Five-year-old euro comes of age
FRANKFURT -- When the euro was first introduced, many were sceptical about its potential for success and concerned about its impact on the FX market as a whole. But as it celebrated its five-year anniversary this month, the euro’s status is gradually…
China stands firm on peg
BEIJING -- China will continue to stand firm in the face of increasing international pressure to relax the yuan’s peg to the US dollar, analysts in the Asia-Pacific told FX Week .
Central Europe sees shift in fortunes
BUDAPEST -- Economic fortunes have been changing in central Europe, possibly more so than markets have recognised, said FX strategists at Merrill Lynch.