Trend following struggles to return to vogue
Macro outlook for trend appears to be favourable, but 2023’s performance flop gives would-be investors pause for thought
For quant investors, a bimodal distribution in data is often a good thing – pointing to a sharp distinction between two possible outcomes, a clear signal, in other words. Except when the binary split occurs among the signals themselves.
Since late 2022, US macro indicators have been disagreeing in just such a way. In the US, for example, the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard has been stuck in a recessionary red-zone for well over a year. Six of its 12 recession indicators, including job
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact customer services - www.fx-markets.com/static/contact-us, or view our subscription options here: https://subscriptions.fx-markets.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact customer services - www.fx-markets.com/static/contact-us to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@fx-markets.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@fx-markets.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@fx-markets.com
More on Trading
Tariffs volatility prompts rush to re-hedge EUR/USD options books
Banks left scrambling to buy vol as spot surged beyond expectations
Dealers bullish on Bloomberg chat interface for FX markets
Service expanded its API offering to integrate broker chats into banks’ engines for cash FX pricing late last year
Corporates hamstrung in response to FX volatility
Restrictions around hedging programmes leave US firms struggling to adapt to dollar weakness
Hedge funds flock to hybrids to trade macro uncertainty
Firms repurpose structure made popular by Trump trades last year
FX traders revel in March Madness
Chaotic Trump policies finally bring diversity to flows – to the delight of market-makers
Former Nomura FX co-head joins JB Drax Honoré
Kevin Connors joins agency broker as head of business and client development
FX Spot+: connecting OTC traders to FX futures liquidity
CME Group’s new all-to-all spot FX marketplace translates futures liquidity into spot terms, expanding liquidity access to OTC traders
Asia hours surge complicates FX options market-making
Late tariff announcements in US trigger hedging headaches during less-liquid Asia sessions
