RBS wins the race with 'currency Darwinism'
Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) topped the one-month currency forecast rankings with a contrarian view on the risk sell-off last month.
Paul Robson, senior foreign exchange strategist at RBS in London, said the bank relies heavily on proprietary risk appetite indicators and a rich-cheap model when forecasting short-term moves. The indicators review risk appetite in more than 40 G-10 and emerging markets currency pairs, while the rich-cheap model looks at currency pairs based on interest rate
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