Merrill Lynch's trend focus pays off

"The market had begun to recognise that some of the imbalances in the US were stabilising and improving, especially the current account deficit," said Emma Lawson, senior G-10 currency strategist at Merrill Lynch in London.

Merrill had anticipated a continued trend of a reduction in the US current account deficit as a percentage of gross domestic product. "We were looking at it on a trend basis and the figures have been improving," said Lawson. "We are now at 4.96% of GDP, which is an

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